Abstract
This study considers the problem of testing a parameter change in general nonlinear integer-valued time series models where the conditional distribution of current observations is assumed to follow a one-parameter exponential family. We consider score-, (standardized) residual-, and estimate-based CUSUM tests and show that their limiting null distributions take the form of the functions of Brownian bridges. Based on the obtained results, we then conduct a comparison study of the performance of CUSUM tests through the use of Monte Carlo simulations. Our findings demonstrate that the standardized residual-based CUSUM test largely outperforms the others.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1033-1057 |
| Number of pages | 25 |
| Journal | Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics |
| Volume | 71 |
| Issue number | 5 |
| DOIs | |
| State | Published - 2019.10.1 |
Keywords
- Autoregressive models
- Comparison of tests
- CUSUM test
- Exponential family
- Parameter change test
- Time series of counts
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