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Monitoring distributional changes in autoregressive models

  • Sangyeol Lee*
  • , Youngmi Lee
  • , Okyoung Na
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Seoul National University

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Abstract

In this artilce, we develop a monitoring procedure for an early detection of distributional changes in autoregressive models. We design the monitoring procedure based on residuals since the test based on the observations is inappropriate. We verify that under regularity conditions, the stopping rule designed to detect changes behaves asymptotically the same as that in iid samples. Simulation results are provided for illustration.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2969-2982
Number of pages14
JournalCommunications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
Volume38
Issue number16-17
DOIs
StatePublished - 2009.01

Keywords

  • Autoregressive models
  • Distributional changes
  • Monitoring parameter changes
  • Residual-based sequential empirical process
  • Strong approximation

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