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Parameter change test for zero-inflated generalized Poisson autoregressive models

  • Sangyeol Lee*
  • , Youngmi Lee
  • , Cathy W.S. Chen
  • *Corresponding author for this work
  • Seoul National University
  • Feng Chia University

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal articlepeer-review

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing for parameter change in zero-inflated generalized Poisson (ZIGP) autoregressive models. We verify that the ZIGP process is stationary and ergodic and that the conditional maximum likelihood estimator (CMLE) is strongly consistent and asymptotically normal. Based on these results, we construct CMLE- and residual-based cumulative sum tests and show that their limiting null distributions are a function of independent Brownian bridges. The simulation results are provided for illustration. A real data analysis is performed on some crime data of Australia.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)540-557
Number of pages18
JournalStatistics
Volume50
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016.05.3

Keywords

  • CUSUM test
  • integer-valued GARCH model
  • test for parameter change
  • time series of counts
  • weak convergence to a Brownian bridge
  • zero-inflated Poisson autoregressive model

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